Archives for posts with tag: Tire Fire

As longer-term players know, Gil Gunderson, Springfield’s hapless salesman, occasionally appears to offer an unbeatable deal on promotional items. He’s appeared 4 times so, but we haven’t seen him since February (and, for newer players, here’s his deal history.) For months, we’ve all been expecting him to appear again, but he’s resolutely stayed away from New Springfield. If he does appear, though, what might he have up his rather capacious sleeves?

There are 7 deals in the files that we haven’t seen yet. Five of them are for donuts:

The Observatory plus the Tire Firefor 75 donuts
The Aztec Theater, a Homer Buddha, and Lard Lad for 150 donuts
A Broadcast Dish and a Burning Bush for 30 donuts
Otto’s Bus and $5000 for 75 donuts
A News Van and a Mystery Box for 30 donuts

There are also 2 that are a bit odd in that they have cash prices attached to them rather than donut prices:

Squeaky Voice Teen and a Mystery Box for $4.99
The Duff Brewery and the Springfield Sign for $29.99

So, when will he next appear to offer any of these? Honestly, there’s no indication yet of when that might be. The Observatory and Tire Yard is the next deal on the list after the ones that have already appeared, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that it’s the next one we’ll see. But I hope he’ll be back soon – and that EA are busily preparing some slightly less resistable deals that include some of the more recent premium items.

GilBadBack

There have been a few questions about the Homer Buddha since the Yard Sale update and whether the odds have changed. I’ve checked the files and everything seems to be exactly as it was – nothing seems to have changed. So, here’s a repost on the odds of winning something good (this originally appeared at the end of March).

As the instructions to the Homer Buddha say, your 15 donut spend means that you win a premium item every time. But can you win anything really good, like the Duff Brewery or the Volcano Lair? Well, it turns out you can, although the chances of doing so are actually very, very low.

When you buy the Homer Buddha, your game is doing a little bit of calculating behind the scenes, and generating a random number between 0 and 1 (a bit like a roulette wheel). Each item available through the Homer Buddha has a number assigned to it – a “chance”. You win the item that has the first number that’s greater than the random number the game generates.

So, what are the chances, then, of winning any of those coveted premium characters or a pile of donuts (rather than a fence or a dumpster)? Here’s a list of what you can win and the probability that the Homer Buddha will actually give it to you:

Mystery Box – 9.98%
Bench – 10%
Planter – 10%
Dumpster – 10%
Picket Fence – 10%
Burning Bush – 10%
Orange Tree – 10%
Apple Tree – 10%
Tire Swing – 10%
Squeaky Voice Teen (or 30 donuts if you already have him) – 4%
Hans Moleman (or 60 donuts if you already have him) – 4%
Frink’s Lab (or 150 donuts if you already have it) – 1%
30 donuts – 1%
Tire Fire (or 40 donuts if you already have it) – 0.01%
Springfield Sign (or 170 donuts if you already have it) – 0.004%
Duff Brewery (or 190 donuts if you already have it) – 0.002%
Volcano Lair (or 200 donuts if you already have it) – 0.001%

So, if you’ve been lucky enough to win any of the last 4 items on the list(and I have seen reports), you’ve been very lucky indeed! And if you did, it would certainly justify a bit of Duffman-style partying down!

Duffman+1244663438547_f

A few new players have asked whether all you get from the Mystery Box is decorations. So here’s a repost of something from March on those Mystery Box odds.

While the Mystery Box is a premium item, you also get one for free every 5 days. While it no longer promises premium items (see here), there are still premium items in there. And, of course, a Mystery Box is the only way that you’re currently able to get one of those coveted, income-earning Lemon Trees.

There’s a game going on behind the scenes every time you either buy a Mystery Box for 6 donuts or collect one as a daily reward. The game first internally generates a random number between 0 and 1. Each item available through the Mystery Box has a number assigned to it and you win the item that has the first number that’s greater than the random number generated.

So, what are the chances, then, of winning anything really good? Here’s a list of what you can win and the probability that it will be inside any given Mystery Box:

Mystery Box – 10.983% (strangely, the item you’re most likely to win)
Lemon Tree (or $250 if you have one already) – 10%
Parking Lot – 10%
Brown Fence – 10% (although some additional calculations apparently boost the probability that this is what you’ll get)
Tree – 10%
Large Hedge – 10% (although some additional calculations apparently boost the probability that this is what you’ll get)
Newspaper Dispenser – 10%
Picket Fence – 4% (although some additional calculations apparently boost the probability that this is what you’ll get)
Gazebo – 4%
Angel Topiary – 4%
$500 – 4%
Bench (with towel) – 4%
$1000 – 4%
10 donuts – 2% (the first thing the Mystery Box every gives you!)
Squeaky Voice Teen (or 30 donuts if you have him already) – 2%
Homer Buddha – 1%
$2500 – 0.01%
30 Donuts – 0.004%
Tire Fire (or 40 donuts if you have it already) – 0.002%
Lard Lad – 0.001% (there appears to be no donut alternative, probably because you can have multiple Lard Lads in your town)

So, it’s all a matter of luck – and I was lucky enough to get my Squeaky Voice Teen this way!

Acknowledgements to j_3xx9 at http://tstappedout.proboards.com for the information used in this post.

mysterybox

While the Mystery Box is a premium item, you get for free every 5 days, which makes itv very different from the Homer Buddha. While it no longer promises premium items (see here), there are still premium items in there. And, of course, a Mystery Box is the only way that you’re currently able to get one of those coveted, income-earning Lemon Trees.

As with the Homer Buddha, there’s a game going on behind the scenes every time you either buy a Mystery Box for 6 donuts or collect one as a daily reward. The game first internally generates a random number between 0 and 1. Each item available through the Mystery Box has a number assigned to it and you win the item that has the first number that’s greater than the random number generated.

So, what are the chances, then, of winning anything really good? Here’s a list of what you can win and the probability that it will be inside a Mystery Box:

Mystery Box – 10.983% (strangely, the item you’re most likely to win)
Lemon Tree (or $250 if you have one already) – 10%
Parking Lot – 10%
Brown Fence – 10% (although some additional calculations apparently boost the probability that this is what you’ll get)
Tree – 10%
Large Hedge – 10% (although some additional calculations apparently boost the probability that this is what you’ll get)
Newspaper Dispenser – 10%
Picket Fence – 4% (although some additional calculations apparently boost the probability that this is what you’ll get)
Gazebo – 4%
Angel Topiary – 4%
$500 – 4%
Bench (with towel) – 4%
$1000 – 4%
10 donuts – 2% (the first thing the Mystery Box every gives you!
Squeaky Voice Teen (or 30 donuts if you have him already) – 2%
Homer Buddha – 1%
$2500 – 0.01%
30 Donuts – 0.004%
Tire Fire (or 40 donuts if you have it already) – 0.002%
Lard Lad – 0.001% (there appears to be no donut alternative, probably because you can have multiple Lard Lads in your town)

So, once again, it’s all a matter of luck – and I was lucky enough to get my Squeaky Voice Teen this way. What’s the best item that the Mystery Box has opened up for you?

Acknowledgements once again to j_3xx9 at http://tstappedout.proboards.com for the information used in this post.

mysterybox

Sadly, it doesn’t – although that does mean that it’s safe for Ralph to wander near it!

A couple of people have realized, however, that there’s a great deal of synergy between the Tire Fire and the Magnifying Glass. This came in from @sebzeseb:

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And this came in from Jimmie:

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You have to admit – it’s a great idea and one I’ll probably be stealing when it comes time to build mine! It’s also very funny.

As we all know, Springfield is home to its state’s largest self-sustaining tire fire. Burning since 1989 (according to some episodes) and now able to be smelled in 46 states, it really is a Springfield landmark. But is it a landmark that you want in your town?

So, as usual, here are a few reasons you might decide to buy it:

1. At just 40 donuts, the Tire Fire is a very affordable purchase.
2. It doesn’t take up a lot of room in your Springfield, though there is always the issue of where you put a burning heap of tires. This is made easier by the fact that its location in the series always seems to change. Mine is next to the Power Plant – may as well consolidate all the environmental damage in one location!
3. It contributes, very slightly, towards boosting your overall cash and XP with a 2% bonus.
4. The Tire Fire is one of Springfield’s most famous landmarks – you really couldn’t call your Springfield complete without it.

And here are a few reasons why you may pass on it:

1. It’s really just a decoration – it generates no regular cash or XP itself.
2. It’s one of the uglier pieces of property in the game (or I think it is, anyway – here’s a screenshot so you can judge for yourself):

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3. None of your characters interacts with it in any way.
4. The bonus is kind of small – although it’s the standard rate for any 40 donut premium item.

So, the choice is yours – and if you’re on a donut budget, 40 donuts is really a choice between the Tire Fire, the Police Car, the Channel 6 News Van and the Burns Limo, all of which generate 2% cash and XP bonus. Of these, the Tire Fire would still be my first choice.

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