The Scratch-R game is available to play free at the Kwik-E-Mart every 6 hours – and if you’re at an early a stage of the game, a big win can really change things for you. As you almost certainly already know, it offers a range of game dollar prizes all the way up to $10,000:

But despite playing 2 or 3 times a day every day since it was launched at the end of January, I’ve yet to win big. In fact, this is the kind of thing I usually see when I’ve scratched everything away:

So what are the chances of a big win? Based on information in the files, here are the possible prizes and the probability that each of those game dollar amounts will end up in your account at the Bank of Springfield:

$10,000 – 1% (just one chance in every 100 games)
$2,500 – 4%
$1,250 – 10%
$750 – 20%
$500 – 33%
$350 – 32%

Why these numbers are coming up slightly differently to the Golden Scratch-R numbers, I’m not sure – particularly given the message that comes up telling you what you could have won if you’d spent real world cash on the Golden Scratch-R rather than scratching away for free. And of course, probability being probability, it doesn’t mean that you’re guaranteed to get the $10,000 once in 100 scratches, either. You might need to scratch a whole lot more before you win big. But, unlike the Golden Scratch-Rs, at least you don’t have to spend anything to do it!

Acknowledgements once again to j-3xx9 at for the information used in this post.