The Golden Scratch-R was a great addition to the game, and has encouraged many people who have never spent money on donuts to contribute a little something towards EA’s coffers. But if the chances of an Easter update are slim to none, it turns out that the chances of winning 100 donuts on the Golden scratch-R are only a little better. And thanks to some great digging into the files by j_3xx9 posting on http://tstappedout.proboards.com, we’re able to know exactly what those chances are.

The money you spend on a Golden Scratch-R gives you one chance and one chance only at winning donuts (it would be great if the 99 cents – or your currency equivalent – that you spent gave you a Scratch-R subscription, but it would make very poor business sense for EA!). For those who haven’t played yet, these are the possible winnings:

And here’s the probability you’ll win any of these:

100 donuts – 2% (maybe 2 wins in 100 purchases)

50 donuts – 4%

20 donuts – 10%

12 donuts – 20%

9 donuts – 33.33%

6 donuts – 30.37%

The interesting thing is that you’re slightly more likely to win 9 donuts than you are to win 6 donuts, which makes the Golden Scratch-R at least as good as, and often better than, buying a dozen donuts through the donut store.

And, of course, there’s still the hope of a big win!

**Update**: Just after posting this, this screenshot came in on Twitter from @SovietData, who got really, really lucky today:

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I’ve just won 100 donuts but it’s only credited me with 50, before that I won 12 but my total is just 50. This is a joke I’ve actually spend money on this and it’s conned me. I want to make a complaint to someone but I don’t even know how to do that! Can someone help, it isn’t the first time this has happened!

Hi – this is a tricky one. You can contact Apple/ Google Play, but you’re only like to get a refund for the money spent. You should also contact EA through the procedure in this post – http://wp.me/p35pG7-1So – it works for other issues, too. Or you can go through @AskEASupport on Twitter – but be careful of the swearing. It often results in them banning you and ignoring your complaint.

I actually won 100 donuts on the golden ticket. Then just done the scratch off and it came up three axes again…….what are those odds?

Congratulations Shelley!!!

got 12, 9 and then 50:)

pretty happy with it, so I’m gonna leave it for now:P

So glad I got the 100 donut ticket on the day the swanky fish was released I was low on cash so I couldn’t get the tray of 132 donuts for 10.00

I have won 3 50 donuts and 1 100 donut sets but, the rest of the times I got really low amounts so glad I got the 100 ticket on the day the Swanky fish was released!

I got 100 donuts my first time.. Was looking to see of this was some gimmick to get people to continue buying

i was lucky enough (or unlucky enough, depending on how you look at it) to get 100 donuts my first purchase!! which was sick!!!! except, i chased the high and bought alot more scratch tickets….. for no good reason hahahaha

I won 100 thanks to my game crashing! I had just done the regular scratch off when it said, “You could have won 100…” and then crashed. I restarted it and bought the damn ticket!

Decided I wanted a premium character and I had my eye on Otto. So first scratcher won 12 and second for 100 donuts! Feeling pretty lucky now…

JUST WON 100 DONUTS! Saving them up for whacking day premium items.

Congratulations π

I got 100 donuts the first time i bought it. Bought a Homer budda, Won 30 donuts, then bought another and won another 30 donuts. Too happy π

I’ve tried the Golden Scratch-Rs 4 times now, gotten 6 three times and 9 once. After reading this post, I was feeling lucky, tried another, and guess what…6 again. :(. I think I’ll hold off on those and wait to see if Gil visits Springfield soon…

I don’t think the Golden Scratch-Rs are worth it. The only time they are really a deal seems like if you are going to buy less than $10 bucks on donuts. Unless you are very lucky, you usually end up with less donuts than if you would have bought them outright. Of course if you are going to buy the dozen donuts for 2 bucks, always get two Golden Scratch-r’s instead, as you are guaranteed exactly the same amount of donuts (12) for the same price and there is always the chance you will come out with more.

Hi Renosis – not really being a gambler, I usually buy my donuts from the store. π

I got the 100 Donut prize on my 4th scratch-off. I think I did 18 in all, and averaged about the same as I would have if I’d just bought a truckload for $20. Scratching was more fun, but it also has the danger of the gambling allure of “just one more…”

I used the golden scratch card 4 times, once I got 6 twice 9 and once 100, it was my lucky day with also 10.000 coins in the normal scratch.

I’ve been VERY lucky with the golden scratch offs. I’ve done it 3 times. The only money I’ve ever put into this game by the way. (I’m also max leveled. It’s taken alot of restraint. lol)The first time I won 50 donuts, the second time 20, and the 3rd time, the jackpot of 100. I currently have over 250 donuts because I’m waiting for the perfect moment to spend them.

Hi there TSTO tips! While on the normal scratch-r card, I got one bomb and one axe and one hammer. Being frustrated, I pressed the sleep/wake button on my iPod. The next second, i pressed it again and unlocked it. The game went to the spinning donut screen. When it finished loading I got a brand new scratch-r and got two bombs. Unfortunately, after repeating the process all I got was two bombs. I wonder if EA will patch this?

Hi Homer – it’s to do with how quickly your game synchronizes with the server. Sometimes it’s very quick, and one times it takes a few seconds longer. It depends on your connection speed, amongst other things, rather than being a game glitch. It works the other way, too. If you win big, but the game crashes just after you do, then you may lose your winnings π¦

I won 100 donuts twice in only a few attempts at the golden scratch card but that was when they were first introduced.Ithink the chances of winning a larger number of donuts was higher at first and has since declined,also the chances of a higher payout on the game money scratch card has declined since the introduction. Quite clever of EA.

I got 100 after 5 try’s and I haven’t bought again

That’s the same “quit while you’re ahead approach” I take if ever I vist a casino! π

It got 100 on my first try.

I’m just a bit jealous π

First time I played I did 6 rounds and got the 100 donuts once! Usually 9 or 12 since then.

Hey TSTO,

Do you have any idea of Gil ? I mean what offers will he bring this time ?

Unfortunately, no idea – I’ve been wondering if we’ll see him back this weekend, though.

Yesterday I got 50 donuts in luck … uhuuuuu … \ o /

I have 105 donuts now and wanted to get a premium item that had a character, do you recommend any or I better wait and gather more?

Does Gil will appear to us again?? (android)

Hi Renan – I think the standalone characters are good, but hold off for a couple of weeks and see what’s coming up. And Gil is overdue for a reappearance – I’m expecting him any time now. π

I’ve spent about $20. I’ve gotten 100 donuts 3 times and the same with 50 donuts. My most common is 12.

Hi Zach – count yourself very lucky! π

Some days ago I bought three Golden Scracth-Rs and got 6, 6 and 9 donuts, so I don’t think I’ll try it again. I’d rather save that money and buy directly a big donut pack, maybe when (and if) Gil makes the 25% more donuts offer again.